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Atradius Reveals the World’s Top Emerging Markets

Leading economists from trade credit insurer Atradius have released their assessment of the world’s top emerging markets of 2017.  The new economic report reveals that India, Indonesia, Kenya, Côte d’Ivoire, Peru, Chile and Bulgaria are some of the global leading emerging market economies (EMEs) to watch. According to Atradius, these economies have been boosted by higher yields, reduced concern surrounding ... Read More »

Country Risk Climate: Trade Finance Falls Victim to China’s Capital Controls

According to an article published by Global Trade Review (GTR), cross-border trade finance between Hong Kong and China is being hit by Beijing’s capital controls, with government intervention making it “impossible” to get money out of the country. The Chinese government has made both formal and informal moves to limit the amount of foreign currency that can leave the country, ... Read More »

Australian Risk Climate: Consumer credit demand strengthens as personal loan applications surge

Veda Quarterly Consumer Credit Demand Index (December 2016 Quarter) Overall consumer credit applications are up +7.7% (vs December quarter 2015) Credit card applications rose +3.0% (vs December quarter 2015) Increase in personal loan applications grew +12.4% (vs December quarter 2015) Mortgage applications rose +6.6% (vs December quarter 2015) Growth in the Index was stronger than expected in the December quarter, ... Read More »

Australian Risk Climate: New Year’s Sales Expectations Falter

As 2016 draws to a close, business confidence for 2017 remains strong. Dun and Bradstreet’s December Business Expectations Survey shows that companies are expecting to see increased employment, profits, capital investment and selling prices for the first quarter of 2016 compared to the previous quarter. However, expectations for sales have dropped back. According to Stephen Koukoulas, economics adviser to Dun ... Read More »

USA Risk Climate: Optimism among Small Business Owners Highest in over a Decade

Notwithstanding the concern expressed by the G20 and B20 Forums about the general lack of prosperity of SMEs, the news from the United States is encouraging as reported by the National Association of Credit Management (NACM). Expectations for better business conditions among small business owners are at their highest since 2004, according to the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ (NFIB) ... Read More »

Russian Risk Climate:  The Small Business Community Anticipates a More Effective Government Support

Preferences appear not to be the same for everyone.  People within the small business community cite the following reasons of their grievances:  Tightening of credit and the impact of sanctions, but in the first place they point to the low efficiency of state support measures.  According to information provided by small business owners, most often the new support measures are ... Read More »

Credit Managers’ Index Ended Year 2016 on an Upbeat Note

The reading for the combined CMI jumped up from 52.9 to 54.1, the third-highest reading seen this year. In April, it  hit 54.6 and in March it  was at 54.3. Last month’s 52.9 was the fourth-lowest reading in the last 12 months.  The news was similarly positive in both the favorable and unfavorable index readings. The favorable score last month ... Read More »

Country Risk Climate: A Look at China’s Yuan

Default risks among companies in the People’s Republic of China are rising as the regime struggles to keep the yuan’s exchange market slide gradual. The authorities have taken a number of steps to slow the unit’s depreciation. They have issued new rules clamping down on overseas investments by Chinese companies. They have instructed banks to limit sharply how much companies, ... Read More »

Dun & Bradstreet’s Q3 UK Quarterly Industry Report – Businesses must operate cautiously due to economic uncertainties

Dun & Bradstreet’s Q3 analysis of the UK industry represents a cloudy outlook for the economy, as the country continues to comes to terms with the implications of Brexit. Worldwide fluctuations, such as Donald Trump winning the US election, also continue to weigh down on the economy and businesses must err on the side of caution as 2017 approaches. Dun ... Read More »

Brexit: Short-Term Gain for Long-Term Pain?

What is the Long-Term Outcome for the UK Economy? Many critics of the UK’s decision to leave the EU say the only reason people are not feeling any pain is because Brexit has not really started yet.  Pending the invocation of Article 50, and with the UK economy posting stronger-than-expected GDP growth in Q3, an alarming underestimation of the negative ... Read More »

UK Country Risk Climate Post-Brexit: Growth Potential in Question

An independent study commissioned by Dun & Bradstreet has revealed a UK business community hesitant to commit to a future in the UK post-Brexit.  Overwhelmed by concerns about the future of their business once Article 50 is invoked, 19% of businesses have halted or slowed growth or expansion plans in the UK. While nearly half (49%) of senior financial decision makers admit their business is likely to ... Read More »

Australian Risk Climate: Employment Expectations at 17-Year High for Q1 2017

Businesses are expecting a strong start to 2017, with expectations for profit, employment and capital investment at multi-year highs. In Dun and Bradstreet’s October Business Expectations Survey, Australian companies also flagged higher selling prices and sales for the first quarter of 2017 compared to Q1 2016. According to Stephen Koukoulas, economics adviser to Dun and Bradstreet: “The economy is ending ... Read More »

Foreign Investment in Russia Is Once Again on the Rise

After a long break caused by sanctions, the devaluation of the Ruble and the fall in the price of oil, foreign investment is returning to Russia. Credinform examines the reasons for the renewed foreign capital inflow. Picture 1. Foreign Direct Investment to Russia in US$ bn, – IQ 2012 – IIQ 2016 Source: Bank of Russia As illustrated by the ... Read More »

Australian Risk Climate: Positive Sentiment amongst Credit Managers Declines in 2016

After five years of increasing optimism, positive sentiment amongst credit managers has taken a dip, with only 31 per cent of participants expecting future economic conditions to have a positive impact on businesses, down from 47 per cent in 2015. Released today to coincide with the 2016 Australian Institute of Credit Management (AICM) Conference, the Veda National Credit Managers Survey 2016 assesses ... Read More »

Russia: Additional Filing Requirements for Legal Entities and Single Proprietors

The Russian Unified Federal Register for legal entities has issued new data filing requirements As of October 1, 2016 Russian companies are obliged to file additional information about their business activities in the Unified Federal Register of legally relevant data on activities according to Federal Law of July 3rd, 2016 No.60-FL «On amendments to legislative acts of the Russian Federation». ... Read More »

Country Risk Climates: Atradius Feels the Pulse of Payment Practices

Atradius published its “Payment Practices Barometer Asia Pacific 2016”.  Here is an excerpt of key takeaways form the study: Nearly 90% of the survey respondents in Asia Pacific reported having experienced late payment of invoices from their B2B customers over the past year Singapore appears to be the most trade credit friendly country in Asia Pacific and China the least ... Read More »