Country Risk Climate:  Trends to Keep an Eye On

  • Brazil – new rules for bank failures;
  • France – back in recession;
  • Libya – Sharia law causes lending crunch;
  • Peru – economic slow-down;
  • Venezuela – dollars for dividend remittances?

ANGOLA – The economic outlook remains bright, as world market prices for Angolan oil will stay high and output will rise …

ARGENTINA – While official international monetary reserves keep shrinking, the country continues to risk “technical default” on foreign debt if it loses the legal battle in the US …

AUSTRALIA – Treasurer Swan, in his just-released budget, avoids European-style austerity …

BULGARIA – The outcome of the elections was inconclusive, making it difficult to predict what sort of government will be formed …

CHINA – The economy slowed its pace during the first quarter and official inflation numbers suggest that the authorities have room for stimulatory efforts …

INDIA – The Reserve Bank is likely to cut interest rates further in light of a softening of inflation …

KOREA (SOUTH) – The supplementary budget the government has unveiled is not nearly as stimulatory as it may appear at first glance …

PAKISTAN – The election victory of former PM Nawaz Sharif was welcomed by the local and international business communities …

To read the full story click on this link:  Weekly Focus 5-16-13

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